Monday, July 31, 2006

Global Climate Change Causing Global Warming. Here. Now.

OK. Small words, few syllables, short sentences.

Cannot keep this up. Grid not built for this. Will fail. Water. Batteries. TP. Canned food. Turn everything off.
NYT reporting: The Midwest Independent System Operator, which operates the grid in 15 states and the Canadian province of Manitoba, forecast peak demand would reach 119,396 megawatts on Monday, breaking the record of 113,054 MW set on July 17.

That would be more than 6 percent over last year's record of 112,197 MW.

One megawatt powers about 800 homes under normal weather conditions. During a heat wave, however, a megawatt powers fewer homes.

After temperatures climbed past 100 degrees (Fahrenheit) in some Midwest cities over the weekend, meteorologists forecast highs Monday and Tuesday would reach 94 in Indianapolis, 99 in Chicago, Detroit and St. Louis, and 101 in Minneapolis.

Also over the weekend, electricity traders noted the shut down and power reduction of several of the region's big nuclear power plants, including DTE Energy Co.'s Fermi 2 unit in Michigan and American Electric Power Co. Inc.'s Cook 1 unit in Michigan, would put additional strain on the system.

So far, the Midwest ISO, which serves more than 36 million people, has not taken any steps to reduce demand -- no rotating blackouts -- and heat related outages have been relatively minimal.

Some 50,000 customer in the Great Lakes region lost power over the weekend due to storms, not heat.

The Midwest ISO, however, notified generators and transmission owners to prepare for the heat and heavy demand.

That means the power companies should not conduct any unnecessary maintenance and should keep extra crews in the field to deal with unexpected emergencies.

Some utilities, including Exelon Corp.'s Commonwealth Edison Co. subsidiary in Chicago, already have asked customers to conserve energy this week.

In addition, the commercial and industrial customers who volunteered to cut power during emergencies in exchange for lower utility rates were on notice that the grid operator may call on them to reduce usage.


As the heat wave moves east, the grid operators in the Mid-Atlantic, Northeast and the Canadian province of Ontario forecast power usage would reach record levels on Tuesday and Wednesday.

PJM, the nation's biggest grid operator, serving more than 51 million people in the Mid-Atlantic and Midwest, forecast demand Tuesday would reach 140,249 MW, breaking the record of 139,746 MW set on July 17. That would surpass last year's record of 133,763 MW by almost 5 percent.

The Independent Electricity System Operator in Ontario, serving more than 11 million people, forecast demand Tuesday would reach 26,230 MW, breaking last year's record of 26,160 MW set on July 13.

ISO New England, serving more than 14 million people in the six New England states, forecast demand Wednesday would reach 28,100 MW, breaking the record of 27,395 MW set on July 18. That would surpass last year's record of 26,885 MW by almost 2 percent.


Itchy Brother said...

Hecate, you are not the only one worried about this. It is going to get worse before the powers that be take notice. Basically, those who are in a position to really do something about it won't do anything until there is something in it for them... more money or more control.

QuinnLaBelle said...

Hey Hecate? just want to say you are doing an awesome job getting the news out about what's happening with the nation's power grid. Those of us who do not have access to publications like the EEI's newsletter thank you.

Xan said...

The tie-in to global warming is the jet stream. It's running way further north than usual this year, even for this time of year. This is the "wall" between hot southern air and cold polar/Canadian stuff. It's just now starting to dip out in the west back down to (iirc) northern California or so, but then it curves north so at the moment it's running just about straight across BC/Saskatchewan/Alberta/Manitoba/Ontario and then curving right a bit over Quebec.

Thus the situation where it is hotter in Chicago than west Tennessee. It is hotter in freakin' Minneapolis than in west Tennessee. The heat that would normally be over us, and bouncing off the jetstream in the middle of the US, has nothing to stop it until it hits central Canada.

(This is off the superb WGN noon news with Tom Skilling, best weatherperson out there. Wish to Christ one of the cableoids would pick him up but what with his brother's Late Unpleasantness this seems unlikely.)

thepoetryman said...

Wow! Very nice read... Hecate, I second quinnlabelle's comment.

Thank you for the report! Jeffery Skilling's brother? Oh my.

Olaf glad and big said...

hi. i have been banned from eschaton comments. probably because of something i said. please agitate for my reinstatement. thanks in advance.

Reema dsouza said...

Thank you for this very good site, really a mix of good and interesting ideas. Especially continue as well. Good luck

voyance par mail gratuit